Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.030886 0.036131 0.041917 0.048760 0.056622 0.065360 0.075795
2025-07-06 0.022699 0.029407 0.037508 0.047966 0.061060 0.076859 0.097311
2025-07-13 0.018642 0.026391 0.036508 0.050577 0.069512 0.093970 0.127787
2025-07-20 0.015470 0.023713 0.035251 0.052382 0.076933 0.110558 0.159738
2025-07-27 0.012294 0.020301 0.032255 0.051108 0.079715 0.121020 0.184543
2025-08-03 0.010096 0.017850 0.030128 0.050576 0.083232 0.132646 0.212075
2025-08-10 0.008185 0.015446 0.027603 0.048910 0.084599 0.140991 0.235390
2025-08-17 0.006767 0.013577 0.025592 0.047674 0.086321 0.149850 0.260192
2025-08-24 0.005820 0.012361 0.024468 0.047707 0.090032 0.162132 0.291568
2025-08-31 0.004882 0.010968 0.022781 0.046438 0.091225 0.170193 0.316533
2025-09-07 0.004483 0.010579 0.022906 0.048515 0.098627 0.189613 0.362819
2025-09-14 0.003931 0.009757 0.022042 0.048530 0.102126 0.202348 0.398336
2025-09-21 0.003323 0.008703 0.020566 0.047164 0.102904 0.210384 0.426515
2025-09-28 0.002867 0.007908 0.019509 0.046512 0.105015 0.221137 0.460850
2025-10-05 0.002701 0.007790 0.019936 0.049115 0.114125 0.246332 0.525287
2025-10-12 0.002498 0.007533 0.019997 0.050905 0.121710 0.269200 0.587189
2025-10-19 0.002147 0.006808 0.018825 0.049681 0.122562 0.278414 0.622430
2025-10-26 0.001884 0.006266 0.018008 0.049171 0.124927 0.290960 0.665581
2025-11-02 0.001608 0.005621 0.016814 0.047552 0.124514 0.297487 0.696592
2025-11-09 0.001388 0.005096 0.015845 0.046350 0.124919 0.305790 0.732078
2025-11-16 0.001244 0.004774 0.015378 0.046384 0.128316 0.321054 0.784070
2025-11-23 0.001076 0.004332 0.014490 0.045148 0.128380 0.328680 0.819587
2025-11-30 0.001025 0.004285 0.014761 0.047171 0.137028 0.357105 0.904874